Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb55dbaf4b73b62d1f83860f3959fde5e1621aec3dee74169b21d506a6145ce68

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,296 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf709…7697backed Under	0c	40,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under	19c	10,350$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966.49	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	80c	9,490$7,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,905.64	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under	19c	4,094$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.86	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	18c	2,150$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	19c	1,939$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.24	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	1,839$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.13	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	20c	1,285$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.06	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	4c	1,230$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	18c	1,087$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.63	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	19c	1,074$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.23	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Under	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	-10.0wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under	11c	820$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ef…098bbacked Over	78c	772.81$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.81	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under	12c	770.47$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under	20c	638.93$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.97	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	6c	545.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over	78c	499.87$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.97	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	78c	481.9$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.19	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	20c	427.37$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.89	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	18c	394.06$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.93	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	18c	353.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.06	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	5c	326.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	18c	316.5$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c37…d887backed Under	22c	276.95$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.93	104	27.9%29 W · 75 L	-11.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c95…01c4backed Under	22c	276.95$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.93	104	27.9%29 W · 75 L	-11.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	76c	276$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.24	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	19c	272.82$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.84	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Under	22c	272.05$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Under	22c	272$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.1wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Under	22c	271.05$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-12.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Under	22c	264.41$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Under	22c	262.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Under	22c	260.36$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Under	22c	257.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Under	22c	256.86$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.51	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-15.1wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	19c	253.67$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…09d4backed Under	19c	242.11$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Under	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-14.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Under	22c	207.68$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.69	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Over	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under	14c	182.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	19c	179.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under	19c	173$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	174	32.8%57 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	18c	167.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over	79c	150.5$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.86	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	7c	144$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	80c	137.59$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.52	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…36debacked Under	22c	136.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.12	122	36.1%44 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada8…2a67backed Over	79c	132.91$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.91	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	80c	115.05$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.01	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d8…185abacked Under	22c	109.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x188a…adfebacked Under	22c	101$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	18c	99.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	23c	85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Under	22c	80.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-11.8wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over	79c	75.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	274	45.3%124 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986b…fdb5backed Under	22c	75.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66b…63debacked Under	22c	73.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-26%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	78c	68.68$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.11	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	21c	48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	789	27.5%217 W · 572 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ce…6bc2backed Under	22c	45.91$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Over	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	276	63%174 W · 102 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Over	79c	19.78$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.15	229	57.6%132 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Over	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	120	60%72 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…ae97backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Türkiye won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Türkiye won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 7.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5Over won
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event