TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,222,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,251,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,222,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c254,320$123,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,311.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over52c142,805$74,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,502.9614343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over39c126,985$49,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,176.1228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under2c99,818$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.362433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over62c85,554$52,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,921.6942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Under40c26,263$10,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,547.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over3c23,557$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,733.7564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over60c16,698$9,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,742.0877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c15,277$8,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,559.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under33c13,322$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under41c12,731$5,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,228.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c12,423$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5261,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c12,170$6,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,114.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under40c11,426$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.7366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over57c10,593$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.4812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over42c10,499$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.86428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over20c10,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over56c8,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.686459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c8,922$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,321.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over70c8,332$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over78c8,233$6,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.6114946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under24c8,032$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.252,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c6,772$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.952,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over75c6,400$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6003467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f82…a84abacked Under19c6,316$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20080%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c6,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over3c5,682$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,536.0736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over16c5,372$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,493.7442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under48c5,119$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.045543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over63c5,025$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.1523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c5,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over67c4,910$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under45c4,593$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.4833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under55c4,464$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.3937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c4,176$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c4,159$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.241,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under37c4,040$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over50c3,890$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.1137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under20c3,887$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over77c3,874$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.3216152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under48c3,852$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.4923046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.832528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c3,102$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c3,059$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c3,000$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.99362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under61c2,992$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.265863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over51c2,947$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.7859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.5889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.586847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Over19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.5815937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over56c2,579$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.8324058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under42c2,203$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.9319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over17c2,115$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.4171638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under36c2,092$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.9425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over48c1,782$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.4236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over57c1,724$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.3810051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under31c1,700$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.367240.3%29 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over21c1,667$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.6718626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c1,667$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.6627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c1,661$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over4c1,634$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.6634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over62c1,623$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.644065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over48c1,586$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8284,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over1c1,570$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.4725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under64c1,532$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.5262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.7411436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under64c1,450$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.464153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under43c1,342$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9420334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under38c1,335$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.194740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under32c1,320$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.424626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under48c1,309$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.3539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over29c1,300$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over72c1,256$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.8521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under61c1,227$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.9611934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Under32c1,173$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.381952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under10c1,141$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.055724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under24c1,139$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over70c1,132$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.454250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5392334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ad…6b11backed Under37c1,084$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under38c1,084$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.738341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5a…109dbacked Under23c1,056$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Over19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.639028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over43c1,044$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.41,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e8…1153backed Under2c1,039$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under62c1,022$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6413461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under36c1,006$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.1618929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31025244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.