TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c45,825$22,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,489.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c12,633$7,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.362,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over37c10,793$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,812.788858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Over60c8,027$4,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.9710562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over39c4,999$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.5923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…6b9abacked Under67c4,477$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c4,443$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over38c2,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.3989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over37c2,568$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.5714620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c2,308$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.984,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c1,975$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.312,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c1,764$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.351,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8913454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c1,085$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under63c926.28$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…d2c7backed Over38c910.26$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c839.21$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over36c837.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.4918742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3310448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3322951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over63c748.39$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.252,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c744.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under65c599.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over36c556.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9422449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c542.52$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5414235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31521957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9913155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over38c499.91$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over37c497.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5117948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over36c486.11$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1117241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over60c382.02$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.051,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over37c300.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Over36c299.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f30…e4e7backed Under66c271.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over37c269.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.13,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe991…46babacked Under63c259.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over38c257.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.927350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Over35c256.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.825451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under63c245.87$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.21,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under63c242.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.331,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over35c224.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Over38c222$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.641346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over35c178.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.322,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under63c173.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3542853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa216…b201backed Over38c165.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under62c164.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.323,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.331,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.525639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.867255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5815040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over39c128.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8610555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f5…3ffabacked Over36c119.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.371435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over60c113.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under64c112.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1748937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under51c108.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.491,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c97.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.191,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over65c88.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.995653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Over37c81.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.216042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Under38c79.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d8…90b3backed Over38c79.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.772556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…c59dbacked Under65c77.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Over36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Over32c62.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.255837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over37c60.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.893357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over35c59.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2110643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under60c56.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8337950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Over36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.847944.3%35 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under66c53.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.142,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under63c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8723761.2%145 W · 92 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over35c44.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over38c40.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.261,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under38c39.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under67c38.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5315751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Under40c37.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x978a…202ebacked Over36c36.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.113246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Under42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Over36c34.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.858640.7%35 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…e871backed Over36c33.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under62c31.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6278559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Over37c31.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7529846%137 W · 161 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada8…2a67backed Under68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under65c27.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8321341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under63c27.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.071,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Under66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d44…9f3bbacked Under63c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.237764.9%50 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under57c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4227663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4523866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under64c16.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3522957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.