TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cec…a0ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT16042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.78
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$17.56
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$6.67
Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.65
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.28
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.61
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.46
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.27
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.36
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.71
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$75.86
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.77
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.6
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.25
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$27.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.71
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.3
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$98.03
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$53.36
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+64%+$75.58
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.42
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$73.68
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$25.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.9
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$28.48
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$8.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+157%+$67.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.66
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.77
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$57.47
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$31.71
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$48.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.56
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$23.18
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$23.97
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.94
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.9
Will AS Roma vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+430.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+430.6%+$1,387.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+66.7%+$66.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.