TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked Under54c37,777$20,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,538.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c14,052$7,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,578742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c12,288$5,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,435.538223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over47c12,200$5,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,504.771764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x936b…7c51backed Over46c8,921$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c7,513$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2824755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c2,606$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.1243252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over47c2,110$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.993050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c1,718$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under54c1,258$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over46c1,217$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82528%7 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ca4…f2d4backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+87.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over45c999.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over45c963.17$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7260748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cf…34d4backed Over47c797.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Under49c666$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over45c591.86$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6340350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over66c530.19$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.085750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c527.57$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.171,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under54c506.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Over47c426.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…ae8ebacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Under65c381.84$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Under53c380.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over46c375$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c317.12$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1924545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3175…2293backed Over47c314.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over46c314.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.849947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over47c276.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.65747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over36c272$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8414736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaabf…832abacked Under55c249.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over47c231.62$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under52c220.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.413661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over47c206.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe57b…8ac6backed Over51c198$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over47c195.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.74358.6%3 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c4d…8481backed Over51c194.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ef…dda9backed Over46c174.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over47c172.73$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.559248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over47c155.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c130.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over51c116.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under63c107.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.492661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e8…2bf5backed Over48c105.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743c…c386backed Over47c104.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.581040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844c…f5f0backed Over47c103.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e44cbacked Over47c100.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under39c99.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Over48c96.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.26988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under51c92.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2711443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under50c88.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.284447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Over45c87.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over49c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a90…5a4dbacked Over65c77.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c9…c508backed Over48c64.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a4…c659backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over51c62.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5401…c03dbacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4964…4e66backed Under55c56.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cb…460abacked Over63c54.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…0ef5backed Under52c54.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3500…8daebacked Over45c51.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6264…7b6bbacked Over61c50.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under36c48.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over47c42.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…e976backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x157e…2efbbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48a2…316dbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa370…f2adbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ca…eb3bbacked Over47c41.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+199.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1729…6805backed Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under48c39.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dce…dcc3backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under49c35.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.416053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over38c32.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.126953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under67c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2bb…b79cbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1d…587bbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…9fbcbacked Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.