TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc271…1bfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.39
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.04
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.25
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.64
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.76
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.42
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$77.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.55
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.5%+$27.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.79
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$42.77
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.07
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.2%+$54.87
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$12.36
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+32.5%+$9.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$56.82
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.8%+$21.79
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.53
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.9
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.29
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.51
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.41
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.64
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.4%+$77.42
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$66.01
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.64
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.66
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+214.4%+$25.25
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.07
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.41
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$14.43
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.82
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.01
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.14
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.55
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.7
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.46
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$25.48
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Colombia vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.47
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.57
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.01
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.46
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$44.55
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.7
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$26.72
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$38.57
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.58
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.65
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$39.47
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.13
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.3
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.68
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.24
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.79
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.12
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.4%+$49.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$89.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$22.96
Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.84
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$221.79
Mazatlán FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$97.69
CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$415.27
Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$180.35
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.5
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.74
CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.97
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33.53
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.94
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.7
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.08
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.15
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+140.5%+$39.49
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.51
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.46
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60.3
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$76.2
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$65.33
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$5.17
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$42.15
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.58
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.05
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.14
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.48
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.83
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.