TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…a9e9backed Over72c18,268$13,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,227450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c14,530$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,673.263,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over72c11,119$7,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,989.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c10,779$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,823.0238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c4,714$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.932,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over72c2,796$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.1211242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.948124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under29c1,602$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.2633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over69c1,299$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over34c1,292$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.133132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under31c1,276$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.3384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Under53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under28c1,043$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.337753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72055545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over56c890.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Under52c815.38$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under28c727.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.982035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over71c471.66$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.881637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c428.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.352,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under22c420.46$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.463148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under68c394.74$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.582055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c389.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under30c298.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.462528%7 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c276.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2118049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c252.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Over79c246$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over53c239.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.718639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over69c236.23$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over56c232.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfff…cbddbacked Over72c221.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over59c220.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.491921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under32c219$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9288048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under29c204.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.113135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over63c200.06$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.539037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under17c190.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under27c184.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+115%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over66c171.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.031540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under32c171.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.321,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over59c139.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.519444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under33c138$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.657859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under36c132.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.347553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under27c131.89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.628355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Under29c127.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.751560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under21c119.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over62c107.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.366446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over72c105.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over47c102.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over25c100.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2418940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.47842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over73c96.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over55c92.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over63c84.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1923757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…3ed5backed Under78c84.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe94a…0ff1backed Over70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Over64c79.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under31c74.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3417956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.975048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Under45c62.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over29c62.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.733652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Under29c62.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c59.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5135944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c54.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.651,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Under76c54.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.151060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under29c53.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over47c53.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256050%30 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under28c52.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.147851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under29c52.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over38c51.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under29c49.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a60…6e83backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6596…b50bbacked Over70c47.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under24c46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over72c43.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under29c42.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8415846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over70c41.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.43per pick56cpaid-78.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under28c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5816856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over69c40.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.