TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c450,346$229,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,490.51850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under49c220,000$107,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,2002556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00010360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c24,413$11,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,450.833745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under50c24,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over51c20,802$10,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,601.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under50c19,694$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8471947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under50c13,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c10,034$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0173959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c9,720$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8603455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c8,001$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.712236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c7,071$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.2143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c6,952$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.282,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under50c5,718$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.834551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5305545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5307143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over50c2,658$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.812035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c2,526$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.3633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c2,357$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.0938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c2,300$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c2,289$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.8552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c2,025$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.7511242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c1,361$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.654351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under31c1,272$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,120$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under51c1,085$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.397753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c1,061$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under52c1,038$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.978639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c966.91$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c962.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over38c827.21$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4089148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under50c789$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c624.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b22…a210backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under63c528.57$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.571050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c518.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under49c499.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9816242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over39c452.08$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under52c428.74$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c412$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.887750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over53c375.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under39c346$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over67c335.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over31c309.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.798239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c307.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15312948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over35c289.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.763132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.58444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c239.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5914756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Under64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under41c211.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.512245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+104.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over52c192.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over20c178.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.982065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c168.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.428355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over50c164.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.724663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over51c148.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.636056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under52c146.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.478442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c139.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2410953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Under50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c124.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.611,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.47847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.27540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c119.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.28551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.387364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under50c103.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.