TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb904…c255

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73,592.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,018.16
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,142.21
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34,402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24,912.12
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,313.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89,999.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$265,412.36
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.64
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27,530.27
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,873.77
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$61,146.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$181,378.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$158,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$158,408.27
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$25,013.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$336,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+226.8%+$763,399.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$226,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226,598.28
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$60,500.02
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$162
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,012.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36,984Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+130.4%+$48,221.6
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$68,719.62
Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$103,400
Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$114,400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$256,152.78
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15,300
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14,500
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$7,800
Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$411.42
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,303.31
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,019.76
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101,257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$118,879.03
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$124,471.33
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$69,918.12
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$246,400
Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153,000
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-9.5)backed Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$171,184
Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$171,961.35
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43,256.18
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$145,537.77
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$118,445
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159,000
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,427.56
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,952Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$4,638.87
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+105.8%+$17.56
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$80,999.99
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35,274.91
Spread: Northeastern Huskies (-3.5)backed Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.73
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.07
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,206.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,799.96
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125,545.96
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$20,875
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.1
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$12,399.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$87,999.9
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$203,999.65
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,727Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22,571.29
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$235,707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+179.4%+$422,900.95
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58,300
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46,381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$48,273.82
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$112,200
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26,396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+165.2%+$43,593.4
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107,341Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+115.2%+$123,618.19
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$6,835.43
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$268,396.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18,499.93
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$304,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+181.7%+$553,474.3
Aston Villa FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$116,600
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$46,546.57
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+129.8%+$12,145
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$66.53
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,350
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$878.93
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50,963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53,042.82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,991.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51,427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$53,577.97
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27,542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32,331.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175,433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$55,399.79
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,276.86
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,736.57
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13,330.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$324,690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$552,850.29
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$250,799.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$257,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$257,399.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57.27
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+237.6%+$73.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$431,198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+129.6%+$558,797.18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82,787Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$147,176.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$512,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$512,600.1
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,594Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.8%+$4,455.79
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,440
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,646.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97,626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90,116.44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,224.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,976Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,771.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+189%+$65,517.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127,499.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117,495.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20,999.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260,008Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240,006.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$159,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$159,500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$242,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$242,000
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$457,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$457,597.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68,184.23
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.65
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53,538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$65,435.2
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132,961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$100,304.18
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$618.72
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61,499.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,000.06
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,935.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$168,333.08
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63,251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37,147.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.7%+$3.7
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$330,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$330,000
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$371,903Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+79.7%+$296,459.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$268,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$268,400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89,306.17
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150,993.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$504.97
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$66,999.96
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,644.77
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,065.46
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,841.03
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$25,551.5
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$188,871Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.6%+$271,129.53
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$210,900.09
SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19,301.83
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,850
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,627.13
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$169,861.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$134,293.57
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,999.97
Will Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$146,665.38
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$849.99
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$247.04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$399,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$399,859.25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$314,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$314,143.7
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,839.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8,114.7
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$206,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$233,200
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105,600
Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,654.4%+$570.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.