NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569bf244b98664aaa0fd2f46c987efdfffe412756cf1a5132d90aff8d9889f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $772,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $798,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 47c | 345,256$160,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,888.02 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 53c | 208,090$110,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,802.39 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Pacers | 46c | 173,807$80,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,609.38 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 47c | 116,581$54,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,792.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hawks | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hawks | 54c | 95,500$51,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,330 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 53c | 76,000$40,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,720 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 54c | 66,100$35,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,534.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 53c | 30,690$16,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,396.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Hawks | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 54c | 21,496$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,941.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Pacers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.93 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hawks | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.54 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 43c | 7,423$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Hawks | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 54c | 6,167$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.67 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks | 53c | 6,098$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.11 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hawks | 53c | 5,500$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Hawks | 54c | 3,705$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers | 0c | 3,644$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Hawks | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.55 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 53c | 3,010$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hawks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Hawks | 54c | 1,910$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 54c | 1,764$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Hawks | 53c | 1,596$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.23 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 47c | 1,402$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 47c | 1,273$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a643backed Hawks | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pacers | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.73 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 49c | 1,020$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hawks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…b698backed Pacers | 44c | 815$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Hawks | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Hawks | 53c | 751.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pacers | 47c | 686.85$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.25 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Pacers | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…435cbacked Pacers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Hawks | 54c | 581.09$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.42 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Hawks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Hawks | 54c | 551.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…df3dbacked Pacers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Pacers | 47c | 491.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 46c | 477.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pacers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pacers | 46c | 348.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a75…e3b2backed Hawks | 56c | 332$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Pacers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 46c | 303.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Hawks | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Pacers | 68c | 271.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…d1b6backed Hawks | 56c | 265$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 48c | 261.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Pacers | 38c | 251.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Pacers | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Hawks | 60c | 243.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Hawks | 60c | 234.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Hawks | 55c | 225.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…feb5backed Hawks | 56c | 218$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pacers | 45c | 211.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…98b3backed Hawks | 53c | 206.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pacers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Hawks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Hawks | 52c | 199.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 44c | 197.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hawks | 54c | 195$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hawks | 53c | 183$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Hawks | 69c | 182.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Pacers | 46c | 179.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Hawks | 53c | 176$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 32c | 134.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Pacers | 47c | 128.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Pacers | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Hawks | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Hawks | 39c | 102.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Hawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Hawks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hawks | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Hawks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Hawks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pacers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hawks | 38c | 89.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Pacers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Pacers | 48c | 86.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks | 50c | 86.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 64c | 81.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Pacers | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Pacers | 63c | 79.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 41c | 78.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Pacers | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Hawks | 53c | 77.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Corey Kispert: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HawksHawks won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.