NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17bd64e94124c112b820ab98dd37e3dfa6ada0102a17f1fbdd2cdaaa3f2129b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 7c | 9,340$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.8 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.85 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 2c | 5,450$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…3fa4backed Under | 46c | 5,440$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…573bbacked Under | 46c | 5,373$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…ae7cbacked Under | 46c | 5,341$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,801$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 3,782$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…8380backed Over | 54c | 1,998$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…ccadbacked Over | 54c | 1,957$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3319backed Over | 54c | 1,935$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 1,914$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaf…5750backed Over | 54c | 1,842$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…f782backed Over | 54c | 1,824$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…da4abacked Over | 54c | 1,796$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…ac68backed Over | 54c | 1,681$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…8b32backed Over | 54c | 1,620$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,517$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…0599backed Over | 54c | 1,501$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 47c | 1,255$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 3c | 1,040$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 1,035$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 972$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 719$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.74 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Under | 48c | 417.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 22c | 375.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 369.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 332$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 56c | 293$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 46c | 258.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 46c | 219.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 47c | 212.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Under | 44c | 206$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 56c | 164.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 56c | 130.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 55c | 113.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 55c | 98.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 92.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5847backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 47.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Over | 55c | 40.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Over | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 47c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 55c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 55c | 26.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 44c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43d…d4b4backed Over | 55c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Corey Kispert: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. HawksHawks won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 250.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.