TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c14,431$6,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,884.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over52c9,634$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c8,186$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under49c7,122$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4725437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over50c6,938$3,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.0245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under49c6,787$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.6413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c6,126$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.134465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe43…0721backed Over51c5,793$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x508f…24cdbacked Under49c5,370$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fc…821abacked Under49c5,349$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c4,667$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.781,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under0c4,025$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over54c3,994$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.2415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Under0c3,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.362240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under47c2,948$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.5658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under50c2,700$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf23…3433backed Under49c2,050$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c2,022$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2561…2662backed Under49c1,983$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f41…a4bdbacked Over51c1,975$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23f…437cbacked Over51c1,912$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ae0…7e0dbacked Over51c1,867$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c1,784$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8921,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf99…4e5bbacked Over51c1,784$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,777$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…f890backed Under49c1,760$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over54c1,678$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.7819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94e4…6a78backed Over51c1,653$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7759…3a51backed Over51c1,528$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,509$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,310$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over54c980.59$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under3c831$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over51c748.16$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.612147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c672$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.563,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under48c548.52$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c508$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Over56c357.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3412855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c68…1befbacked Under48c356$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.58657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x266f…52e7backed Under48c277$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d03…1a3dbacked Over53c255$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c3…19cabacked Under47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under47c211.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c202.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c180.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.231,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under49c163.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.435650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.793,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c85.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c78.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under46c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.425253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over51c75.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9822655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under47c72.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Under49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over51c45.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under46c44.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbaa0…e401backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…fceebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under46c39.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under50c38.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0810842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…1e75backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under44c34.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c30.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4b…9f51backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84050%20 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over51c28.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c27.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over52c27.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4810761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8adc…5803backed Under50c27.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4535049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4919748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under49c24.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.174854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Under47c23.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.063151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc498…a396backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.