TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3be0…e4e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 62 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.3
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.12
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35.64
Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$11.25
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$40.7
Cavaliers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 124.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
Bucks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+115.8%+$19.32
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+77.7%+$10.93
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$21.62
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+74.8%+$21.83
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.77
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.08
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$10.5
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.56
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.98
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+86.9%+$22.32
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$14
Army Black Knights vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.79
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-10.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.24
Spread: Washington State Cougars (-8.5)backed Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.22
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-17.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$8.74
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-4.5)backed Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.75
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+150%+$15.6
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.7
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Leicester City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$14
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$24
1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: Giants (-1.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$26.4
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+114%+$15.98
Eagles vs. Bills: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$15.6
Texans vs. Chargers: 1H Moneylinebacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.36
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+90.1%+$19.91
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.95
1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
SHL: Timraa vs. Malmoebacked Timraa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.92
Canadiens vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.25
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.45
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Torpedobacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.28
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40.65
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$9.72
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.31
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.56
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.87
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$18.88
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.44
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.52
Will US Lecce vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.32
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will FC Alverca vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.41
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.16
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.18
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+62.2%+$22.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick77cpaid-68.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.27
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Basketball vs. Barcelonabacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.59
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Valenciabacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.