Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9ee993a283dfe2e30eb7246430151b00133f6c03ac13b60ea6bd44be95f703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 218.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 42c | 201$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 42c | 134$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 44c | 125.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 43c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier MusketeersCreighton Bluejays won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)Creighton Bluejays won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-3.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.