Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe347beff2cef14897881fbc2c5c283dfd47c611a7b73ad113a751e8c0c817aa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 48c | 283$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 45c | 172$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 45c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 60.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier MusketeersCreighton Bluejays won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)Creighton Bluejays won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-3.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.