Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183e9ec577155313c6c348485e5b3078eac6caf48450bec051f21b4ce475dae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 17c | 50,000$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,494.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…fcc9backed Xavier Musketeers | 0c | 10,286$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 9,297$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 8,484$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.13 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Creighton Bluejays | 66c | 6,660$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.41 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Xavier Musketeers | 61c | 6,050$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.34 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 73c | 5,869$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 5,790$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Creighton Bluejays | 76c | 4,185$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.21 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 3,296$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 2,481$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.77 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…31b9backed Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 2,470$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 2,470$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.52 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Creighton Bluejays | 73c | 1,931$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 1,857$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…9442backed Xavier Musketeers | 19c | 1,200$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 1,126$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 1,036$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Creighton Bluejays | 80c | 970$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 850$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 663.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 499.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Creighton Bluejays | 77c | 478.71$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 453.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 15c | 389.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 374.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 329.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Xavier Musketeers | 64c | 281.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 258.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 218.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Creighton Bluejays | 77c | 169.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 165.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 125.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Creighton Bluejays | 39c | 121.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 119.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Creighton Bluejays | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 77.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Creighton Bluejays | 65c | 73.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 38c | 67.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…fc6bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…ac2dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 64.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 63.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Xavier Musketeers | 39c | 63.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 32.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…e0b0backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 31.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xavier Musketeers | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…2b55backed Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 30.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Xavier Musketeers | 60c | 30.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…4fddbacked Xavier Musketeers | 61c | 30.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Creighton Bluejays | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Creighton Bluejays | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…d1d8backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 29.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed Creighton Bluejays | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Creighton Bluejays | 77c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Creighton Bluejays | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Xavier Musketeers | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…4d11backed Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…4437backed Xavier Musketeers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Xavier Musketeers | 57c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 79cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersthis page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)Creighton Bluejays won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-3.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.