TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bf2…24d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jackson State Tigers vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$66.57
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$98.15
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+331.9%+$179.07
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$53.37
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flamesbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+94.9%+$75.32
Montana State Bobcats vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+82.4%+$42.04
Florida State Seminoles vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$87.56
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$48.8
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$59.27
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.28
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.1%+$32.98
Detroit Titans vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$97.59
North Texas Mean Green vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.92
Troy Trojans vs. UAB Blazersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+202.8%+$210.84
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. High Point Panthersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40.25
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.55
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50.59
Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+102.5%+$29.31
Marist Red Foxes vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.83
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$71.99
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+106.8%+$79.71
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.14
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57.72
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+190.3%+$46.94
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.81
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$98.03
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$65.97
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$59.82
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$37.04
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.17
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$52.09
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+332.7%+$371.64
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.23
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+366.7%+$92.89
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.58
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+282.2%+$65.46
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+126.8%+$45.78
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$48.86
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,410%+$2,819.93
Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,047.53
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$888.89
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ASB Classic: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Gironbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+231.9%+$2,283.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$394
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.