TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,064,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,086,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,064,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Stars58c238,095$138,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,00010349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Stars58c207,408$120,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,111.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Jets42c200,000$84,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,999.944949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets40c176,434$70,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,696.6438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Stars57c107,431$61,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,195.4417749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jets42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,00010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets42c23,257$9,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,767.9988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets42c22,558$9,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,497.4147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars78c21,664$16,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.821,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jets42c18,888$7,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,932.9621850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets21c16,616$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.4262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars58c16,416$9,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,896.4621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets42c11,091$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.122,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets43c10,833$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.581,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jets43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Jets42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jets43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9314253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars55c9,225$5,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jets34c9,016$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.1613333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe135…0551backed Stars56c7,990$4,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe325…98e3backed Jets44c7,981$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars56c7,496$4,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.381,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Jets43c7,182$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.8328652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets43c6,287$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.9979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jets43c5,648$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets43c5,500$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jets44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9727548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Jets42c4,960$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.0610554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jets43c4,800$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Jets16c4,444$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.446833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Stars58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3425446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets44c3,980$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.0586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jets42c3,809$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7852050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Stars58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2812445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Stars58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars56c3,333$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567a…85eebacked Jets45c2,858$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Stars57c2,617$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.6650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jets43c2,590$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.71,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jets45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars56c2,430$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b6…13f8backed Stars56c2,200$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Jets43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9466443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets25c2,167$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.081,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets14c2,161$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.882,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jets43c2,010$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.320552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eff…8f18backed Jets44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aba…b7c8backed Stars57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8603100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Jets22c1,832$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Jets47c1,785$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.9524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbc…93ebbacked Stars56c1,778$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b0…18adbacked Jets45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Stars58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1412041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets43c1,722$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.361,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Jets49c1,686$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Stars55c1,643$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.3330551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Jets29c1,613$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4624546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,543$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.437450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jets43c1,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64045955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b8…c33fbacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3004…fc4cbacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c4…4054backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…8898backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6d…90c3backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8125…7a70backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4cc…cda6backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d1…5c40backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbc…8aaebacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab8…3326backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe600…1e23backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf73…2c07backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+81.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeabd…a869backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd303…393abacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f9…5ea7backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf74…762bbacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf23…4a7cbacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68f9…3a8fbacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0999…36babacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb905…c9bbbacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…d4a2backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ae…7decbacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa81c…c4e1backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jets43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64531851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9893…ac42backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c6…4be7backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…483ebacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0719…28f4backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.44per pick57cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa1a1…50f0backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…fbd7backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+77.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa8…b529backed Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3d…1810backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3c…0e10backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d75…ccb0backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68d9…5435backed Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+76.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaa0…b71dbacked Stars52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8061…115fbacked Jets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.