NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbff49c3a1daa9f0dc675ef6d7c5a94b2a569c66a376ccbfba050692a362f030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Stars, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 35c | 3,371$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.93 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets | 64c | 1,865$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Stars | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 64c | 808$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 64c | 774.96$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 64c | 501.12$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Stars | 36c | 194.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Jets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…1ad0backed Stars | 32c | 164$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…de1dbacked Stars | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…5f36backed Stars | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…3cc7backed Stars | 32c | 158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…ad13backed Stars | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…a6ecbacked Jets | 68c | 154$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…30b8backed Stars | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 69c | 152.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…e745backed Jets | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…e46ebacked Jets | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Jets | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…d7f3backed Stars | 32c | 149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…d3b6backed Jets | 68c | 149$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2994…92d2backed Jets | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…2797backed Jets | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…8d5ebacked Stars | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…3ccabacked Stars | 32c | 138$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…71fcbacked Stars | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…0f7ebacked Stars | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…3de8backed Jets | 68c | 137$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…ea6bbacked Stars | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…9c8cbacked Stars | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…7348backed Stars | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…08d1backed Stars | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…58d6backed Stars | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f2…ea15backed Jets | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…c6b4backed Jets | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…1dc2backed Jets | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…7603backed Jets | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…acfdbacked Jets | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…db64backed Jets | 68c | 127$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…f597backed Jets | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…33cbbacked Jets | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…0fecbacked Jets | 68c | 121$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Stars | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Jets | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Jets | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Stars | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcba…2047backed Stars | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jets | 65c | 51.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1a78backed Stars | 36c | 50.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Jets | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Stars | 35c | 43.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Jets | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Jets | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Jets | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Jets | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…bf9ebacked Jets | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Jets | 64c | 21.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Jets | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Jets | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Stars vs. JetsStars won
- Stars vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.