Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c11aa577e779779ac26c3d511f2f7bde52683f154671018508e6afc2f1e1f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Providence Friars, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 14,565$10,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.29 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Providence Friars | 40c | 11,905$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.88 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Providence Friars | 41c | 6,761$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Providence Friars | 26c | 4,946$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 3,332$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.52 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 2,998$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.35 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Providence Friars | 26c | 2,376$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 1,797$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.37 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars | 43c | 1,696$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 1,459$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Providence Friars | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Providence Friars | 4c | 999.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Providence Friars | 48c | 805.56$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 694.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 670.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Providence Friars | 37c | 597$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 54c | 555.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Providence Friars | 53c | 554.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Providence Friars | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 493.75$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Providence Friars | 10c | 420.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Providence Friars | 39c | 372.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 348.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Providence Friars | 37c | 229.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Providence Friars | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Butler Bulldogs | 69c | 190.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…070ebacked Providence Friars | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 164$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Providence Friars | 48c | 147.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 144.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 136.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Providence Friars | 41c | 127.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Butler Bulldogs | 66c | 115.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Providence Friars | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Providence Friars | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 42c | 99.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Providence Friars | 25c | 87.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Providence Friars | 36c | 85.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Providence Friars | 45c | 67.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Providence Friars | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb709…05c9backed Providence Friars | 36c | 53.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Providence Friars | 58c | 52.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 49.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Providence Friars | 58c | 46.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Butler Bulldogs | 36c | 40.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Providence Friars | 34c | 35.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Butler Bulldogs | 52c | 35.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Providence Friars | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Providence Friars | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-4.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.