TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3510…2492

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST4330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$103.18
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$84.38
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.18
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.11
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.41
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.6%+$118.4
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.57
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+341.7%+$1,340.07
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+1,895.2%+$572.07
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.98
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.64
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$530.57
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.24
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$70.63
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+55%+$305.98
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.4
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.48
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.91
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.85
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.15
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.03
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.38
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$67.12
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.46
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$77.4
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.44
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$480
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.03
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.4%+$22.06
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+400%+$1,119.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$847
Copa del Rey: Leganés vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Leganés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$34.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$94.24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$651.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,513.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.4%+$20.39
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$207.98
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+541.7%+$254.93
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$108.85
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+37%+$219.93
Will Everton win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$62.31
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.26
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+212.5%+$57.8
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.26
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.73
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+91.7%+$13.84
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+36.8%+$3.87
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.97
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.27
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.63
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+110.8%+$834.32
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+241.4%+$180.3
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.41
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+293.4%+$507.52
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+110%+$356.2
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$186
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$264
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$240
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$27.03
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63
Will the match between FC Twente and Bodo Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+614.3%+$1,720
Will FC Twente beat Bodo Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+809.1%+$890
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25.7%+$371
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$151.2
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+233.3%+$1,815.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$293.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$63.33
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$95.12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,950
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+44.8%+$931.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$504.61
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$287.73
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$394.24
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$62.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$294.59
Will Denmark beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$111.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$404.4
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+111.8%+$213.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.57
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$304.74
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$163.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.