TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabama A&M Bulldogsof Alabama A&M Bulldogs, Alabama State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3510…2492backed Alabama State Hornets6c1,147$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.82812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-79.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama State Hornets54c847.21$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs62c661.84$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.981,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs47c610.32$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Alabama State Hornets53c596.98$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Alabama State Hornets62c528$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Alabama State Hornets54c500$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.25545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs47c307$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs30c270$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c245.63$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama State Hornets34c226.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.424,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c212.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.811,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alabama State Hornets63c166.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.872,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Alabama State Hornets72c139.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4353646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked Alabama State Hornets57c126$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.458748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Alabama State Hornets34c123$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5822157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.822552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c115.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.961,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…a27cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c99.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.674,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs38c86.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.711,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs65c77.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.077350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Alabama State Hornets54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c71.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Alabama State Hornets54c67.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c64.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.62,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs44c51.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Alabama State Hornets30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e6…67b6backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs65c45.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs29c37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs44c33.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6239744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Alabama State Hornets53c33.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1719237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alabama State Hornets52c25.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs65c25.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf739…8167backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c24.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61b9…f46abacked Alabama State Hornets54c24.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Alabama State Hornets54c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama State Hornets60c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…18b0backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1c9…cca9backed Alabama State Hornets51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.222259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs54c21.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.742,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.