TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$734,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$735,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c612,798$318,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318,632.0235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under48c586,824$281,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,148.529652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c61,639$29,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,955.4721262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c34,413$17,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,894.531421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c11,111$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.7213154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c10,000$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.5110441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2006758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c9,041$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.128946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c6,528$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.641,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under48c5,710$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62521248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,674$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.16445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.1925556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under48c1,156$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.2518650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c914.36$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c898.05$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9739744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under47c874.25$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32521443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Over4c568.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.911442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under53c496.88$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138b…7e3dbacked Under54c458.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under58c413.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.794045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under48c327.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over50c305.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.864344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under52c292.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c285.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.721,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d20…6568backed Over54c223.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under53c222.04$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.666144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under53c214.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.586238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c201.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.382,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over18c199$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.938937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbecc…6e99backed Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2db…be15backed Over77c162$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under54c138.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.124443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c132.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.455650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Under48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Under48c121.83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.353240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1721830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over52c97.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.954146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over52c96.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.997450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.336556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under52c81.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.025648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over52c80.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.619050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under48c79.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1821059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under48c76.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6917661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91d7…5457backed Under75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c37…947cbacked Under76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.735100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c4…a930backed Under79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4909…8f39backed Under50c60.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2634649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…266cbacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Under48c43.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+92.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce89…2b5ebacked Under48c35.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e92…18c4backed Over51c29.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x343b…d892backed Under48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…89c0backed Under53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Over51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…4d3bbacked Under80c15.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.