TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43d6…a56a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST6035%21 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+844.4%+$101.33
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.54
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$36.74
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+125.3%+$31.31
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.92
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.08
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+124.7%+$24.95
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.26
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.46
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+68.4%+$17.1
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+90.5%+$17.94
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-2.5)backed Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hampton Pirates vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
North Dakota State Bison vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-4.5)backed Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10.05
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+106.2%+$21.24
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.34
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Wagner Seahawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.86
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.87
Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-8.5)backed Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-4.5)backed Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Siena Saints vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+52.1%+$20.84
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.13
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+263.8%+$45.34
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.89
Australian Open Men's: Quentin Halys vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.5%+$9.44
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajdabacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.9%+$8.27
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Kordabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+57.1%+$17.17
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+115.7%+$13.89
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bbacked BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.41
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+279.9%+$83.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.72
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$21.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.