NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480aad650bfce3c92c48cfbe11af5ba3f3ed3cbe4260c7dd9175e18cc20651e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Red Wings, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 43c | 56,979$24,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,623.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Wild | 60c | 44,395$26,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,757.82 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 57c | 44,331$25,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,062.47 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 53c | 29,743$15,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,868.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 55c | 29,248$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104.86 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Red Wings | 44c | 26,000$11,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,320 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wild | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Wings | 42c | 18,042$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.62 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 57c | 17,959$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,751.44 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wild | 35c | 17,625$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.21 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wild | 58c | 16,002$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.84 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Red Wings | 1c | 15,615$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 58c | 15,095$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,391.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 57c | 13,480$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 59c | 12,491$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.23 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Wings | 43c | 11,596$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.28 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Red Wings | 43c | 11,476$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.49 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 42c | 10,231$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.38 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 43c | 10,141$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.61 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Red Wings | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Wild | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…6575backed Red Wings | 42c | 8,833$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 42c | 8,670$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.28 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 58c | 8,022$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.71 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 41c | 7,090$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wild | 57c | 7,020$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.57 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Red Wings | 43c | 6,767$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.81 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Wild | 31c | 6,377$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.81 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…da27backed Red Wings | 0c | 6,187$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,124$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 40c | 5,719$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.55 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Red Wings | 29c | 5,613$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.84 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Red Wings | 58c | 5,327$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.25 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wild | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 50c | 4,890$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 43c | 4,829$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.63 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Red Wings | 43c | 4,658$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Red Wings | 43c | 4,558$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Red Wings | 48c | 4,235$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.61 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 40c | 4,011$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.55 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Wild | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Red Wings | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Wild | 59c | 3,950$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.39 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Wild | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings | 43c | 3,396$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.26 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 41c | 3,333$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.53 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Wild | 51c | 2,944$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wild | 58c | 2,786$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.08 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Wild | 58c | 2,681$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 53c | 2,506$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.05 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 49c | 2,378$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.67 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Wild | 58c | 2,367$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.02 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Wild | 48c | 2,266$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.58 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 57c | 2,200$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 59c | 2,124$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,090$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 2,061$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Red Wings | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wild | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Wild | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,984$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,937$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.89 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Wild | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…94a9backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,866$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,833$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.14 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Red Wings | 43c | 1,823$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,795$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Wild | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,685$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.55 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,656$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.61 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,611$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.82 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,593$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.25 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…b9f3backed Wild | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…52c9backed Wild | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…67bfbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…915bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…005abacked Wild | 60c | 1,498$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…d0d0backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,498$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…ac0dbacked Wild | 60c | 1,497$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…8491backed Wild | 60c | 1,497$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…15fbbacked Wild | 60c | 1,497$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…b871backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,497$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…8fc3backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,497$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…8fc5backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,497$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…1424backed Wild | 60c | 1,496$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Wildthis page
- Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.