NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0865f1f9e4374c56be71dc36d5c716c7922eebbebbd0ae688712b71f9bd58a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 5,052$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.13 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 2,807$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 53c | 2,755$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.15 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 1,769$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.08 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,427$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 48c | 766.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 53c | 726$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 27c | 441.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 6c | 435.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 363$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 305.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 14c | 264.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 54c | 192.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 56c | 192.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 188.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 54c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 100.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 76.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 55.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 26c | 55.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Over | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 54c | 50.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7b9cbacked Under | 49c | 43.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…6960backed Under | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…462fbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 52c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 77c | 26.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Under | 54c | 24.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 52c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…963bbacked Under | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. WildWild won
- Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.