TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e5c…e4f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Flyers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+110%+$401.55
Penguins vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$300
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Sabres vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.5%+$107.08
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.9%+$49.7
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Canucks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.5%+$2,613.02
Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$200.45
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$110
Canucks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$363
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)backed Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Australian Open Women's: Zeynep Sonmez vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$200.45
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$125
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$366.23
Set 1 Winner: Sramkova vs Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$41.74
Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baezbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Women's: Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Volynets (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$243
Muchova vs. Cristian: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Women's: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Shnaider vs. Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.88
Shelton vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85%+$42.49
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$296.16
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$98.58
Vekic vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$82.55
Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Tomljanovicbacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$139.38
Brisbane International: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Wrexham AFC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.9%+$144.04
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$148
Boreham Wood FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.1%+$216.27
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$98.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+84.4%+$168.87
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$209.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.6%+$148.55
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.8%+$106.51
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.9%+$107.77
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$203.08
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$134.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$106.42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+194.2%+$194.16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$800
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$99.82
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+54.9%+$219.66
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$176.86
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texas State (-11.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.6%+$1,277.76
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$189
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$134
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.1%+$414.51
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+115.7%+$3,471.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.1%+$172.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$105.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.