TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,036,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,045,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,036,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes44c3,744,785$1,641,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103,355.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No56c675,902$380,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380,436.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No56c592,588$333,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,277.275846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No55c488,005$266,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,626.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No56c305,000$172,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,1003745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No57c300,000$171,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No56c200,000$112,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No57c185,646$105,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,817.954254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No55c160,000$88,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c135,511$69,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,668.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No56c66,748$37,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,076.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No57c65,372$37,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,262.043046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No57c49,386$28,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,115.011942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No57c43,621$24,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,864.162065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c42,089$23,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,690.7415947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No56c37,776$21,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,154.564553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No56c35,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c31,820$18,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,223.6984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c29,585$16,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,681.5944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No57c27,566$15,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,712.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No56c25,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes44c21,500$9,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,1452556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c20,000$11,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,329.6135158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No57c15,594$8,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,888.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,55020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No58c14,414$8,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,404.168245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No57c13,399$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,637.433450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c13,222$7,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,536.285532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed No57c12,100$6,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,897333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No57c11,888$6,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7763452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No57c11,111$6,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,333.272339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No58c10,829$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.0743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Yes47c10,548$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,547.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No57c10,281$5,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.172050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c9,941$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.3713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No57c9,760$5,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,563.21650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No44c9,107$4,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.7152243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No56c8,806$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa102…36d9backed No57c8,675$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No57c8,333$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7503455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked No57c8,258$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c8,143$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.732,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No58c7,670$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.67554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c6,731$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.0291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No57c6,050$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Yes42c5,960$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No57c4,566$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c4,565$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.8176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…9aa4backed No57c4,428$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No57c3,728$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.962347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed No38c3,008$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7405545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7407143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked No56c2,660$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No36c2,500$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No57c2,361$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3465343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No54c2,147$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.975156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes43c2,093$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.029538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes70c2,054$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.292250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No58c2,044$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.3533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9827939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No21c1,969$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.334141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No41c1,814$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0262665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No40c1,713$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.493852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed No37c1,631$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No46c1,500$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6854447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed No43c1,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.98944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c1,471$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes41c1,463$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.413354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed Yes44c1,418$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes41c1,368$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.7919934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes54c1,326$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.541315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed No38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes44c1,297$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4815376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c1,291$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.7227644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…c42ebacked Yes44c1,202$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6842825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No57c1,180$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No57c1,113$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No56c1,103$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.328660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No57c1,089$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.732343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c1,087$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8342844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No39c1,059$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.856923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cb…820abacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes65c999.99$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.023259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes45c866.58$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.115660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4644634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.