Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92091b05b718d87d3c61b733d439374039b6c18bed3def38a11ea514a411594c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 5,011$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.79 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,302$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 69c | 4,010$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,412$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.1 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,214$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 742.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 20c | 608.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 512$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 11c | 482.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 375.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 11c | 325$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 289.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Yes | 29c | 279.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…b9e3backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 8c | 177.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 30c | 166.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 158.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 11c | 149.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 14c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 70c | 114.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 111.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 24c | 90.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 71c | 86.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 80.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 30c | 75.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 78c | 72.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 66.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…fa93backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 32c | 55.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…9baabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 32c | 50.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes | 24c | 46.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…3c8bbacked Yes | 29c | 45.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…b7c0backed Yes | 30c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Yes | 31c | 35.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…0944backed Yes | 30c | 34.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…3182backed No | 72c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e8b3backed No | 72c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…2806backed No | 72c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…2ed5backed No | 72c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…7a9dbacked No | 72c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…3b6abacked No | 72c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…ec3cbacked No | 72c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.