TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b20…de61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4658.7%27 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.27
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.28
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.24
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.9
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$34.25
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.95
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.08
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.53
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$11.79
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.68
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.62
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.52
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.82
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.72
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.27
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$747.16
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$37.54
France to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.4
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.61
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$129.07
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.01
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.14
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,029.49
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.32
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$614.45
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$309.83
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$286.66
Morocco to score first vs. Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.28
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$638.21
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$586.93
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$319.92
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$443.7
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.74
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$542.64
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.19
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.9
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.7
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.33
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.77
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.82
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.83
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.35
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.94
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.22
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.69
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.6
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$175.72
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$410.32
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$218.29
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$255.39
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$27.14
Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30%+$186.75
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$203.17
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.79
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$274.14
Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$419.98
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$146.7
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$231.9
Will US Lecce vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.6%+$215.73
Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$203.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.09
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.97
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.48
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$203.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$212.5
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.45
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Will Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.59
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.5%+$211.1
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$185.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.76
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$332.47
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$247.5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$454.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$113.35
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$172.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-79.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice vs. Saint-Etienne end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.24
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.72
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$108.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.53
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$578.64
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$579.09
FC Metz vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+319.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$109.03
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$92.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$4.08
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$21.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.