TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,636 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No75c5,919$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.792240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c5,825$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.8668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c3,202$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.1396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c3,188$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7892766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb4…1023backed No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c2,225$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c2,081$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.282,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No75c1,616$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c1,157$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes16c995.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c991.14$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c968.1$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c828.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No77c809.98$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c715.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c493$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf9…780dbacked Yes26c489.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes7c476.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No76c392.15$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d8…ddf8backed Yes26c387.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes25c379$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.753129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50eb…7a5cbacked Yes26c367.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb3c…de27backed Yes26c354.27$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes22c347.65$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c287.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0674…5e43backed Yes26c284.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c241.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4242347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c238.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes26c235$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x522a…7c6abacked Yes25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Yes25c200.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2079…33d8backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes26c190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdadf…0c4fbacked No75c188.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c186.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb94b…bd62backed No75c176.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes11c158.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.425632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d4…a3a9backed No75c151.37$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db3…e1b3backed No75c150.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No75c147.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.851855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes8c146.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3da…3320backed No75c130.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389f…6079backed No75c128.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes25c127$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.697949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…bd0ebacked Yes25c122$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…249bbacked No75c120.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa63…261fbacked No75c120.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51b…421dbacked No75c117.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef4…4d46backed No75c116.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ec…263abacked No75c115.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes26c112$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.123426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes23c106.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes25c104.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.041233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa081…b4fbbacked Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedfd…367dbacked Yes25c102.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67f…b74ebacked No75c100.87$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes14c99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b6…59aebacked Yes25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed Yes14c97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes24c95.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.073638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x065e…e1a5backed No75c92.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…2594backed No75c91.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes16c85.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938b…46c0backed No75c82.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes26c73.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No76c62.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.812540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f2…313bbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-81.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b5c…7f36backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771a…1734backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Yes25c48.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe190…1a1abacked No75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…7185backed No75c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc6…e885backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9360…b9c7backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2558…d355backed No75c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.