Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715095e761dc7d287390d242d9ed656418d428f24dd6d3cd95925081b488fb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 14c | 41,064$5,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.95 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 4,997$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.49 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 0c | 3,252$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 2,190$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…09c5backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 10c | 1,497$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 3c | 1,165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…7584backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…fd01backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…8906backed Yes | 14c | 911.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 875.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…65babacked Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 14c | 471.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 449.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 15c | 437.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 346$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 14c | 346$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…2ee1backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 12c | 321.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 13c | 299.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…313bbacked Yes | 4c | 256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 235.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 4c | 229.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…d62abacked Yes | 15c | 227.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 12c | 214.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 5c | 207$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…f201backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9691backed Yes | 14c | 190.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 14c | 145.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efa…a28bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…dd9fbacked Yes | 15c | 128.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…cffdbacked Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9607…9144backed Yes | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 107.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…5ea1backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…f936backed Yes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…4ce2backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 12c | 84.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…66d9backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Yes | 15c | 74.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes | 15c | 68.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 15c | 68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.