TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2090…7584

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$192.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$331.53
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.85
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.8
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$97.71
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+376.2%+$316
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$176
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$136
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick21cpaid+239.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$424
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$712
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+733.3%+$968
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.