NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf585de755a3c676f1efc9a94fb40f27b6b6ef3c5941a4971a838e919b40c22f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Trail Blazers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,829,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,842,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,829,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 175,258$36,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,104.22 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 117,356$24,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,564.77 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 97,525$21,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,211.4 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 80c | 92,351$73,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,470.16 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 75,436$9,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,269.09 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 79c | 69,889$55,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,676.78 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Warriors | 78c | 54,900$42,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,078 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Warriors | 79c | 44,214$34,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,235.58 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 79c | 37,974$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,974.6 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 79c | 37,646$29,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 32,988$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,597.52 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 79c | 32,366$25,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.73 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 79c | 32,134$25,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,748.18 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 79c | 30,989$24,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Warriors | 79c | 30,000$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 29,059$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 26,558$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Warriors | 79c | 26,490$20,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.9 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 26,117$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.39 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 25,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 22,493$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.46 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 22,222$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.61 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 22,105$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.12 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 20,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.05 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 19,293$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.69 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…a609backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 17,964$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 78c | 17,152$13,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 16,706$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 15,891$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.05 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 79c | 15,639$12,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.29 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 15,217$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 14,047$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 13,188$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.32 | 101 | 19.8%20 W · 81 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 13,000$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 11,768$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.87 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Trail Blazers | 5c | 11,365$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 78c | 11,162$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 79c | 11,041$8,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.53 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 11,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 10,972$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.74 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 10,860$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 10,590$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.9 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 80c | 10,542$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.33 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Warriors | 78c | 10,275$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.9 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 10,174$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 10,100$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 10,010$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.1 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Warriors | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 8,517$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 79c | 8,400$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 8,327$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 8,055$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.5 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Warriors | 78c | 8,005$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.22 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 7,810$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 7,775$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Warriors | 79c | 7,750$6,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 72c | 7,106$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Warriors | 78c | 6,738$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.44 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 80c | 6,555$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.52 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Warriors | 78c | 5,958$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.79 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 68c | 5,816$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.18 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…5d6cbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 5,800$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 5,506$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 5,429$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 5,198$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.91 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 79c | 5,114$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.73 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Warriors | 78c | 4,860$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 4,839$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.93 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 79c | 4,540$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Warriors | 67c | 4,533$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.52 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…3bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 4,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 4,394$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,286$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 4,226$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 140 | 25%35 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 79c | 4,219$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.99 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Warriors | 79c | 4,110$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.07 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Warriors | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Warriors | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…80f2backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 3,931$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,857$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 79c | 3,732$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.51 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,249$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.88 | 215 | 34%73 W · 142 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,218$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.84 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 3,194$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…ce60backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 3,152$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors | 79c | 3,101$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.27 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Warriors | 79c | 3,051$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.63 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.