TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c22,003$11,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,414.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under49c19,903$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,150.5348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c15,694$7,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,972.1115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c12,887$6,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,645.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c11,327$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.182,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c8,155$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c6,278$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Over52c5,965$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under48c5,089$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.4220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…8d3fbacked Under51c4,782$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c4,593$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.3658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4301,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over54c2,931$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.832,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,521$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under48c2,483$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.731,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under46c2,169$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.4732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c1,983$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,831$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c1,721$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c1,361$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…e821backed Under47c1,319$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c1,206$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.692,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,200$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under50c1,112$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under49c1,080$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.829748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54010235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c930.69$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over53c676.51$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.258961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c654.29$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c605$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c546.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over54c471.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c460.39$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.773,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c430$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over43c426$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under45c420$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23117644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Under51c345.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.13060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over44c245.4$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.25550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0866046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over44c187$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.821,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under78c171.26$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under51c162.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.499642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over37c117.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a5…28ccbacked Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over52c77.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3652246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c70.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.412,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d2…4abfbacked Under46c69.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c57.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over47c49.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0822347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under50c48.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked Over47c44.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c41.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over51c41.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c40.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.642,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208737.9%33 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Over55c33.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.748856.8%50 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.319346.6%90 W · 103 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under47c29.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.898556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d9…9f29backed Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2325846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Under46c23.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.915839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under51c22.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under77c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.861,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under74c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.