NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0930a98fc34a43d5de41bd657464a40172e181237d327a6061b6a67affdce5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 9,311$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.04 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 6,808$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 3,807$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.57 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 3,193$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 3,066$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.64 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 2,646$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 28c | 2,568$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 56c | 2,344$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.64 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 46c | 2,312$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.03 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…7a59backed Under | 46c | 2,035$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 53c | 1,917$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.83 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Over | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Over | 61c | 1,791$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.97 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 1,735$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.2 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 1,714$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Over | 71c | 1,511$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,509$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 50c | 1,014$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 819.22$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 812.4$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.57 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 685$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 625.96$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.57 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 525.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…a457backed Over | 40c | 499.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 490.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.73 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked Over | 59c | 390$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 52c | 385.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Over | 19c | 280.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 240.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 229$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 46c | 205.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 54c | 173.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Over | 57c | 146.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Over | 55c | 127.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 47c | 120.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…a2d1backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 80.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 79.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 71.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 65.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…74b7backed Over | 54c | 64.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…b6f1backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…a732backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 50c | 51.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…983dbacked Under | 69c | 50.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…ea70backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…6229backed Over | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 38.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 48c | 36.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.