TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee20…5b37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
777
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST50347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 503 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42.86
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$818.18
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$3,818.18
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$318.18
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.9%+$819.17
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.9%+$48.43
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.24
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106.4
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.34
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,921.57
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$437.92
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+300%+$264
Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+61.6%+$175.76
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$652.5
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+102.4%+$29.62
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$427.5
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,255.3
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.55
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.2%+$75.29
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$818.18
Showing 25 of 503 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST19050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-17.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-8.5)backed Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.18
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$73.84
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.67
Evansville Aces vs. UIC Flames: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$222.87
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.18
Spread: Florida Gators (-15.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+54.1%+$36.85
Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-1.5)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$331.4
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+65.6%+$16.52
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+164.6%+$93.82
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+388.5%+$381.66
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$297.13
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$1,971.5
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$71.55
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$417.11
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$44.16
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,275.49
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+99.1%+$152.15
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.8%+$278.55
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST7164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+150%+$71.49
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.6%+$1,006.69
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,599.84
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.5%+$45.42
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69%+$235.93
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$399.6
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.58
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.28
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.5%+$338.99
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.8
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.38
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.02
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.8%+$37.74
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$652.05
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.2%+$147.55
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Spread: Giants (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+525%+$2,520
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Spread: Patriots (-33.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,965Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+187.7%+$5,566.32
Spread: Saints (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Spread: Saints (-1.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.1%+$769.33
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,375.66
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+87.9%+$1,553.34
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$101.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scottie Scheffler assault charge dropped?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$48.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$416
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.