TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Suns, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$420,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Suns50c395,346$197,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197,672.9687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets50c200,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nets50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets50c18,500$9,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns49c8,683$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets50c7,137$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5691,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets50c6,246$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Nets50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Nets51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5750347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets45c2,411$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets50c2,359$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.682,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Suns49c2,145$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.9217344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns44c2,071$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.733,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets47c1,757$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns53c1,670$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Nets53c1,078$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a1…a474backed Suns47c1,054$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Nets38c880.07$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6617233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Suns80c623$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Suns50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Nets53c567.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.934645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Nets51c500.02$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0115348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns48c433.17$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.921,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Suns52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2987…6f8fbacked Nets53c366$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…857ebacked Nets53c356$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd884…bba0backed Nets53c332$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Nets48c261.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.716658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Suns49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Nets55c227.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.865745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns47c224.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.72,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Nets52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0868542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Nets51c193$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.574740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Nets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c74…b42ebacked Suns53c165.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Nets25c157.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Suns75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns48c116.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Nets52c104.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3928245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Suns48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Suns48c93.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Nets11c92.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets49c81.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.811,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ee…37ffbacked Suns61c78.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.18862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets50c77.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.961,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3011…bf2ebacked Suns70c71.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick73cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a4…0078backed Suns76c65.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad4…d6c1backed Suns78c63.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81875%6 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…f797backed Suns78c63.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Nets56c62.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4311471.9%82 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Nets51c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Nets51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.825062%31 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Nets51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets49c55.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Nets33c51.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.648740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Suns50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Nets20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406121.3%13 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Suns51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nets53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0971245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Nets50c42.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3418051.1%92 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f04…425ebacked Nets51c41.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Suns53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.045435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Nets51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2912062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Nets60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Nets51c32.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Nets51c31.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5317155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Suns48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47d…feeebacked Nets51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Nets48c27.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1524454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Suns76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.