TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under57c48,651$27,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,837.1740446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under51c40,000$20,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,257.394465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over43c35,977$15,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,507.1139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c18,365$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c16,743$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over43c14,135$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,056.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7650…5278backed Over51c3,863$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0b…efe3backed Over51c3,720$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c3,444$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.2727747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af0…f59abacked Under49c3,362$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.3840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9685…634fbacked Over51c3,152$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f0…082cbacked Under49c3,080$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over43c3,010$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.71,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9b…8e50backed Under49c2,863$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.8740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c2,800$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c2,676$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.5258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94e…2818backed Under49c2,452$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c1,993$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,894$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under59c1,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c1,107$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c1,093$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.532,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,091$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c1,081$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Over44c985.75$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.0213040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over43c961$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7754747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over43c730.98$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35711137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over49c670.44$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.817233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4a3…67eabacked Over51c522$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under54c493.54$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5143543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c429$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.792,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under57c315.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under53c315.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under51c249.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0932346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Over43c248.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.843455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c240.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over44c238$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2726956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over44c224.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9215149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Over43c209.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.336947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over49c199.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over43c181.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3632952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under56c181.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5327051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under57c179.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over48c177.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8753839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over45c173.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.075650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4339…beeebacked Over44c171.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.933531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4517353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under10c163.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over42c163.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9719958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under56c133$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1570153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over49c128.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6414647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.416549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under53c119.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over48c117.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2816261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…74b7backed Over46c109.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.012759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2913441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0410840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under54c92.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9117656.3%99 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under58c85.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9847349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over52c84.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.948740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.051,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over54c61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2739449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over43c60.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4719748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8232853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8237352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…7572backed Over48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c54.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Under48c53.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.073345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over65c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8517243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over49c50.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5117949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f9…4375backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c49.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.763354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf9…ca87backed Under57c34.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70f…d5d5backed Over43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over49c34.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over49c34.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.763522.9%8 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.093336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over42c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.