TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe70f…d5d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2986.2%25 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+39.9%+$25.59
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.2%+$125.59
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25.4%+$7.62
Australian Open Women's: Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tausonbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.92
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$19.77
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43%+$65.79
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.71
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.39
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.79
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$24.09
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.74
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$67.54
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.92
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-1.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+105.5%+$36.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.