TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Zverev, Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda35…ff0ebacked Norrie29c20,700$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.6359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norrie17c12,276$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.78,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Norrie18c10,005$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.94742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Norrie19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9817823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Zverev78c9,652$7,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zverev75c8,215$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.6811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Norrie0c7,396$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.062,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Norrie18c6,298$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.679944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Norrie18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.995228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Norrie19c5,185$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Norrie19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Norrie24c4,187$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Zverev80c3,851$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Norrie21c3,357$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.911,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Zverev76c3,322$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7991,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Norrie19c3,296$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.322,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Norrie18c2,780$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.45030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Norrie20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Norrie25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Norrie23c2,484$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5230847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Norrie28c2,351$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.3430845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie14c2,145$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Norrie19c2,137$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.061,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Norrie28c2,064$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8624844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Zverev75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Zverev78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Zverev77c1,900$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43311248.2%54 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Norrie19c1,750$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.081,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zverev76c1,620$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.187,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Norrie19c1,564$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Norrie14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Zverev76c1,334$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.491,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Norrie18c1,244$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.062030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+166%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Norrie19c1,242$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.82,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Norrie11c1,240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.42,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Zverev78c1,219$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Zverev75c1,152$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1229854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Norrie23c1,149$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.919023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Zverev80c1,125$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Norrie27c1,111$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5654138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Norrie20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Zverev78c1,000$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie22c888$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Norrie16c886.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.451,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zverev76c878.54$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.092,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Norrie19c851.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.842437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Norrie25c782$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x109d…9274backed Norrie21c764$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Norrie28c760.34$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.910043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5804…dc41backed Zverev80c728.68$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie16c702.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Zverev75c700$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17811859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Norrie19c662.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf339…bb59backed Norrie21c659$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Norrie14c649.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8846030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Zverev77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.354158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Norrie16c616.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5815831%49 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29ce…9162backed Norrie21c611$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Norrie6c599.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.994599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Norrie27c589.81$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.256737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Norrie16c578.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6925234.1%86 W · 166 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Norrie24c573.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a74…2ffebacked Norrie21c572$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf745…6e59backed Norrie21c547$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.87333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Zverev79c535.61$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4829661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3b…0b61backed Norrie21c526$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…b1b6backed Norrie21c506$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Norrie20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Norrie20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Zverev72c488.21$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.057462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Norrie19c457.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9410729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Norrie11c454.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.976050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…2a3ebacked Norrie12c424.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Norrie10c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70e4…c76abacked Zverev79c390$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…ab82backed Norrie12c390$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.84146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d63…0e2bbacked Zverev79c374$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Norrie20c352.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.473823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Zverev74c348.65$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.669744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c7…9209backed Zverev79c330$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…fffcbacked Zverev79c329$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…1b62backed Zverev79c318$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Zverev77c305.19$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1912631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Norrie19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Norrie19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5725722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9007…dbeebacked Norrie20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb102…b9febacked Zverev79c293$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ea…9d00backed Zverev79c290$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3c…0f07backed Zverev79c282$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Norrie25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Norrie29c275.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8620431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Zverev79c274$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce4…4b62backed Zverev79c273$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4583…64f8backed Zverev79c264$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed Norrie17c262.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe228…b442backed Zverev79c262$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e7…6906backed Zverev79c254$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…faddbacked Zverev79c252$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norrie17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.843935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Norrie12c243.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010728%30 W · 77 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.