TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e8d…6d9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$43.25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36.4%+$123.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,499.96
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+54.4%+$820.12
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29%+$22.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$28.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$15.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25.2%+$16.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.4
Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36.95
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.26
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.12
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Coleman Wongbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$172.08
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.5%+$222
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58.58
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+50.4%+$148.74
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54.7
Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$82.94
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.55
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.45
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.46
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$296.42
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$127.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$455.12
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+46.8%+$140.35
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$57.6
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.48
Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+38.7%+$64.1
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25.3%+$24.16
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$4.75
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$110.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.2%+$54.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $500 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+73.3%+$29.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.95
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+263.4%+$90.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+109.6%+$85.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.3%+$32.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.