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Tennis · resolved market

Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69c5…1e01backed Over 3.576c42,870$32,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,613.072152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.524c15,066$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,425.342,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.524c9,470$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,190.041,16341.5%483 W · 680 L+26.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.524c7,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7004,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…8257backed Over 3.576c7,335$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under 3.525c4,167$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.8674838.8%290 W · 458 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under 3.524c4,090$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.713,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.523c3,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30069644.5%310 W · 386 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under 3.525c2,903$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under 3.522c2,320$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.1538446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over 3.544c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9911637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.526c1,957$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.533036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Under 3.528c1,903$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Under 3.526c1,550$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under 3.525c1,500$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12636535.1%128 W · 237 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Over 3.573c1,445$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.6919141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Over 3.570c1,430$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0011546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff24…437bbacked Over 3.575c1,315$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb6…b120backed Over 3.573c1,232$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under 3.530c1,147$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0652152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over 3.574c1,136$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under 3.526c1,064$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.271,58842.3%672 W · 916 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under 3.525c1,051$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.611,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0f…ae40backed Over 3.573c1,010$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over 3.575c887.46$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.1812552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under 3.526c839.33$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.8995237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over 3.577c814.47$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.097041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Under 3.556c799.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35238134.1%130 W · 251 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.554c749.1$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.579,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under 3.556c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2935955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under 3.525c712$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5341050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Under 3.526c705$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.71136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under 3.533c678.86$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.461,74250.2%875 W · 867 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5f…dcdebacked Under 3.525c657.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.525c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over 3.548c553.24$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.481,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x701c…fa14backed Under 3.526c525.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under 3.523c500$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.527041.9%113 W · 157 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.532c499.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.743,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over 3.558c410.72$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.221,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.562c399.81$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.914,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over 3.558c391.72$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.26,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Under 3.569c338.66$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.527c325.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.091,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Over 3.514c319.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7522123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under 3.556c314.82$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.521,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under 3.529c282.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0248552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ee…6917backed Over 3.573c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Over 3.574c267.76$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1425657.8%148 W · 108 L+19.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.576c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20093653.4%500 W · 436 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Over 3.576c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under 3.525c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+95.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under 3.525c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18092138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a3…52dbbacked Over 3.572c236.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…00d5backed Under 3.556c234.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…da36backed Over 3.558c208.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.18944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under 3.542c208.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Over 3.572c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under 3.526c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.313,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under 3.552c190.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9448344.5%215 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Under 3.556c180.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.463363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23d4…c239backed Under 3.525c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over 3.554c154.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7211253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…c4bdbacked Over 3.571c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-5.0wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over 3.574c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10086470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Over 3.574c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under 3.526c134.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.621,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Over 3.575c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over 3.575c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Under 3.525c132$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ae1…f481backed Over 3.574c131.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Under 3.527c116.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.054763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…ae00backed Over 3.575c113.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under 3.526c112.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under 3.525c112.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0447251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over 3.544c102.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…07c3backed Over 3.575c100.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5612464.5%80 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under 3.525c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7545751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Over 3.575c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under 3.529c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.574c96.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.422359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4053…d21abacked Over 3.575c96.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.27666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Over 3.568c95.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1933658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.572c93.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7765157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec3…5476backed Under 3.528c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over 3.558c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Over 3.558c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881,89459.3%1,124 W · 770 L+6.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf126…a54cbacked Over 3.573c82.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.474440.9%18 W · 26 L-8.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under 3.526c80.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3936261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.530c70.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.644,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Over 3.569c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.335461%216 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Over 3.574c67.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d8…9242backed Over 3.545c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Over 3.570c64.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.526c58.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4135641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over 3.575c52.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.412,89939.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Under 3.525c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under 3.528c51.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over 3.532c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under 3.526c48.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6948345.8%221 W · 262 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.