Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3156972f43b3ef618fd33c3be1b3c69b880e1a7596f4a5b34b4a5008255e0a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Fritz, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev | 68c | 9,970$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fritz | 32c | 6,536$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Zverev | 49c | 5,354$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.3 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Fritz | 51c | 3,590$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.62 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Zverev | 50c | 2,005$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fritz | 50c | 1,992$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.25 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Zverev | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Fritz | 16c | 1,536$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fritz | 15c | 1,342$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Zverev | 41c | 1,188$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.83 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Fritz | 53c | 1,177$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.81 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fritz | 21c | 966.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Fritz | 54c | 899.47$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.67 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…16eabacked Zverev | 47c | 858$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fritz | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fritz | 54c | 624.07$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Fritz | 10c | 586.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Fritz | 29c | 492.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Zverev | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Zverev | 49c | 441$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fritz | 50c | 407.21$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fritz | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Fritz | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Zverev | 49c | 371.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Fritz | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Fritz | 13c | 335.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zverev | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Fritz | 53c | 190.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Zverev | 46c | 135.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Fritz | 12c | 129.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…e4fabacked Fritz | 54c | 118.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed Zverev | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Zverev | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Zverev | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fritz | 49c | 64.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Fritz | 53c | 62.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Fritz | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Fritz | 54c | 59.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fritz | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Fritz | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fritz | 51c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Zverev | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Zverev | 48c | 29.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…fdf4backed Fritz | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Zverev | 48c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7dcebacked Fritz | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Fritz | 52c | 23.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Zverev | 47c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fritz | 53c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…d9aebacked Zverev | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Zverevthis page
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.