Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8030d5b2cc3fdfe239ecdf0675ded064bc1478075c14d740596a52b6d45bc496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 13c | 3,770$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.3 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 24c | 2,229$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.92 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 26c | 1,560$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Under | 15c | 1,398$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 1,041$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 24c | 1,020$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 27c | 969.56$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.24 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 874.12$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 45c | 843.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 24c | 623.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f39…f8f2backed Over | 75c | 531.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 75c | 457$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Under | 42c | 375.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 301.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…eb31backed Over | 69c | 290.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 280.94$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 52c | 211.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 51c | 197.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 61c | 156.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 48c | 134$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 33c | 132.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 33c | 121.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over | 58c | 111.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 110.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…938abacked Over | 53c | 93.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 43c | 91.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…6ababacked Under | 30c | 72.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 75c | 69.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 45c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 70c | 65.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Under | 30c | 65.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 31c | 64.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 78c | 55.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Under | 27c | 54.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 64c | 42.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Over | 77c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 35c | 31.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 44c | 28.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.