TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab72…eae9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+230.2%+$43.75
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.91
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.75
American vs. National: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.44
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.16
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$111.15
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$53.92
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$89.09
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$16.73
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.9
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$81.54
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.8%+$39.84
Bucks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+133.8%+$14.72
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+86.4%+$17.27
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$26.17
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.1%+$5.62
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.29
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$62.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$84.24
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$94.02
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$23.11
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$303.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Jiang/Xubacked Neel/Olmos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.31
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Krawietz/Puetzbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovicbacked Siniakova/Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.97
Fritz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$97.89
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$120.5
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Aoyama/Liangbacked Aoyama/Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.6
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+135%+$256.52
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+133.8%+$60.19
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+205.1%+$41.02
1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Giants vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$23.06
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$27.34
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Predators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$49.08
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.5%+$30.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.