NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2fa44d1340aecc1fe509028060aa29b81c4a6f0410c597aa24ef217f7baeab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,841,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,996,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,841,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 198,325$55,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,883.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 73c | 164,906$120,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,842.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 127,196$38,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,628.91 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 28c | 101,944$28,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,399.68 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 97,746$28,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,463.8 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 71c | 78,474$55,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,736.3 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Thunder | 71c | 51,767$36,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,554.68 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,499.86 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 40c | 47,042$19,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,012.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 69c | 46,694$32,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,451.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 45c | 44,791$20,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,056.68 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 24c | 40,827$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,827.24 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 69c | 37,591$26,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,113.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 34c | 37,332$12,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,757.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Timberwolves | 29c | 32,716$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,090.95 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Thunder | 71c | 32,533$23,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,095 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 71c | 32,323$22,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,949.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 42c | 32,298$13,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,670.37 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Thunder | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.94 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 28,549$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,548.95 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 31c | 26,666$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Timberwolves | 21c | 24,960$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,633.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Thunder | 75c | 24,782$18,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,489.28 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 47c | 24,332$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Timberwolves | 33c | 24,242$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,242.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Thunder | 67c | 23,456$15,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,715.51 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 71c | 23,147$16,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,423.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Thunder | 50c | 23,026$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 49c | 22,826$11,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,127.2 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Thunder | 71c | 22,000$15,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,620 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 75c | 21,507$16,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,150 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Thunder | 71c | 20,763$14,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,741.73 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 69c | 20,500$14,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,180 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 69c | 19,088$13,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.16 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 24c | 17,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,919.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 16,986$6,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,501.13 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 50c | 16,970$8,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,472.79 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 16,970$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,669.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 16,763$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,901.76 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 53c | 16,292$8,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,623.73 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 57c | 16,076$9,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.57 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Thunder | 71c | 16,010$11,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,434.58 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 50c | 14,750$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.78 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Thunder | 70c | 14,282$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Timberwolves | 35c | 14,011$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 68c | 13,833$9,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 50c | 13,440$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.75 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Thunder | 70c | 12,743$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 12,391$6,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Timberwolves | 25c | 12,219$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,214.2 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 74c | 11,950$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.41 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…6382backed Thunder | 70c | 11,880$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,315.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 72c | 11,150$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053.5 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 24c | 10,389$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,891.4 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Thunder | 74c | 10,198$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,529.76 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 29c | 10,127$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,237.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 26c | 10,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Timberwolves | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 27c | 10,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 56c | 9,948$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.78 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Thunder | 70c | 9,808$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.3 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Timberwolves | 34c | 9,485$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,228.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Thunder | 1c | 9,397$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 67c | 9,389$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.86 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 71c | 9,299$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Timberwolves | 33c | 9,228$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.57 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Thunder | 39c | 9,083$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 71c | 8,859$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.99 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Thunder | 59c | 8,630$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 70c | 8,500$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.98 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,389$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.02 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Thunder | 69c | 8,238$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.96 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 8,213$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.9 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Thunder | 45c | 8,001$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Thunder | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…7e38backed Thunder | 73c | 8,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 7,917$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,663.73 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Thunder | 74c | 7,725$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.26 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 29c | 7,581$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.27 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 73c | 7,351$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340.95 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Timberwolves | 28c | 7,071$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.29 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 58c | 7,039$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.73 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 26c | 6,980$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 6,737$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.61 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Thunder | 63c | 5,649$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Thunder | 63c | 5,478$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.57 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Thunder | 69c | 5,324$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.03 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Thunder | 71c | 5,306$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.3 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 5,250$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.41 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Thunder | 68c | 5,140$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.12 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 71c | 5,100$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Thunder | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Thunder | 68c | 5,000$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 68c | 4,979$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.84 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Thunder | 58c | 4,673$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.