TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,935$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c3,372$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.482,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under42c2,959$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.6217031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under47c2,134$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.9721852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over58c2,022$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.561,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over58c1,900$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.0891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over51c1,804$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under43c1,770$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.910642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,741$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.535,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72819547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Over71c1,323$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9331921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over46c1,223$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.781,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over51c1,159$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over6c1,130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8239018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over52c497.43$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.667132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under34c470$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c344.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c319.58$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.261,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d05…a9cabacked Under44c280$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c278.87$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Under47c229$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under48c208.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9218954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c194$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.521,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over51c191.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under44c175$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under48c158.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8938148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over71c136.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.995860.3%35 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under13c124.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.394413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Over10c114.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068e…6d88backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under45c101.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc943…223cbacked Over60c101$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Under14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86568.9%5 W · 51 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5218453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Under49c98.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.163857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…09c2backed Under40c96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c91.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under38c83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.464949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under38c81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.227557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.618649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over59c59.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Over68c58.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5510357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aba…7d56backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x280a…df86backed Under40c53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.251,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.522243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8513652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Under38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under39c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under37c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.723655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under44c41.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.322,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over58c41.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.127045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under36c39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.964358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under37c37.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c36.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under37c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.057162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under45c34.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.948556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…71e1backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over58c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Over62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over60c29.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over66c26.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over60c24.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.263246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over64c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Over62c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.782972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0339449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.