TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3647…6250

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
360
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST12245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.88
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200.43
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$64
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$120
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+87.7%+$35.09
Magic vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.5%+$24.8
1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST7538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140.01
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200.09
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+203%+$203.03
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$131.53
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+89.2%+$89.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST5349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$31.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$21.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$31.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22.79
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$19.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+230.7%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+98.8%+$39.53
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$34.67
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.19
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$90.47
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+101.4%+$15.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.8%+$18.95
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+118.3%+$53.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$137.27
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.93
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$29.41
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+54.9%+$21.96
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$16.55
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$56.66
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$39.17
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$35.55
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.9%+$14.23
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$25.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22.15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26.18
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+70.8%+$28.31
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22.79
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$18.42
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.15
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31
FC Basel 1893 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$75
BSC Young Boys vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$45
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Rangers FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Canucks vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Panthers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: Spirit vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.