TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Over51c20,224$10,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,260.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c14,652$7,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,234.21,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c11,718$6,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.546,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c10,276$5,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,157.6525752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under55c8,158$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.4810148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Over50c7,738$3,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over51c7,155$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.172445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c7,041$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.321,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c6,158$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c6,140$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.16240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under52c5,000$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.9810050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.934841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c4,330$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.692360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under49c3,998$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.86142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under51c3,815$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.049949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c3,427$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbda…5a5ebacked Under51c2,612$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Over47c2,370$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.683540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Over45c1,926$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.574245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c1,784$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.894,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c1,610$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6239156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c1,561$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.0972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under52c1,529$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.816654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,520$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under52c1,419$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.19763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd72…078abacked Over48c1,325$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over13c1,172$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,098$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over50c1,026$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.874839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under59c766.1$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.130050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under57c710.81$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.656262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c669.4$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.311,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c636.73$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under52c561.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.757252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over47c499.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.988343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c499.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.989254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over42c475.82$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Over51c469.59$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a0…7848backed Over48c414.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20429259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over50c394.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.144656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.164235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25af…7db9backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under55c382.75$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Under53c340$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.81758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over51c339.35$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.078158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Over48c333.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15360557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over51c293.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.029846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Over48c274.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Over50c266$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under50c262.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13110956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c259.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0737958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff5…50eabacked Over49c252.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.533327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c239.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under58c234.66$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.568662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Under57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.93161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over51c217.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over48c213.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.59958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…5714backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c188.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.